Эконометрическое моделирование объема производства продукции предприятий легкой промышленности

Abstract

The paper reveals opportunity of the statistical apparatus using for modeling of the main economic indices of light industry enterprises activity. Data on the enterprises of light industry of Republic of Belarus are investigated during writing of work. Multiple regression of dependence of output on factors is constructed on the data of 20 companies of the Bellegprom for 2014, the subsequent improvement of model is made, and also the nonlinear equations of regression are constructed. Zarembka's transformation is carried out for definition of the best model describing dependence of a productive indicator on factors. The forecast is carried out on the basis of the chosen model, and also the simplex method is applied to modeling and determination of optimum values of factors in econometric models at which the maximum value of a productive indicator is reached.